Mississippi vs Alabama 9/29/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over Mississippi. AJ McCarron is averaging 246 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Eddie Lacy is projected for 58 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where Mississippi wins, Bo Wallace averages 0.81 TD passes vs 0.81 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.27 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Jeff Scott averages 40 rushing yards and 0.24 rushing TDs when Mississippi wins and 31 yards and 0.08 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 58% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -33

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